The Football Player Transfer Bet is similar to the Transfer Manager Bet which we had already discussed, although it can be a lot broader than the transfer manager bet. This bet essentially discusses the probability of a certain player joining a club, these usually discuss proper transfers (not loans). A number of options for this bet are…
Player Next Club = Betting on the next club a player will be moving on to
Club Next Signing = Betting from the club’s perspective on which player they will be signing first.
Break Transfer Record = Betting on which player is expected to break a transfer record. (Can be league, country or world records)
Deadline Day Signing = Betting on which players will sign for which clubs on the last day of the transfer deadline.
The transfer market only occurs twice a year, and when it arrives it can be chaotic. This is why the football player transfer bet is so interesting. Also the many rumors that float around can be very exciting. These bets can be very vague as well, bets such as “ Andres Iniesta to join any Japanese Club” can often be seen floating around.
Making the Bet
The Player transfer bet relies on a lot of insider information, analysis and news reports. Understanding where a player will move to next or which players a club specifically wants to target, as well as how badly they want them. Transfers can very often break down for a number of reasons (failed medical, monetary disagreements, delayed paperwork). That is why it is important to take into account all the factors which could decide whether a player transfer goes through or not. Factors such as this include…
Player relationship with the coach/management
Interest from other clubs
Player on-field performances
Player style of play in comparison to interested job
Play time or money needs
Player Transfer bets will often be offered to punters when there is uncertainty among a player. Or during the transfer window when transfer activity is heating up. When betting, there is a need to always analyse what is happening with the club and the market, rather than relying on an exciting rumor coming out of nowhere.
Football Player Transfer Betting Example
The January transfer window has arrived. Many La Liga sides such as Barcelona and Real Madrid are actively looking at strengthening their squads. Barcelona are in desperate need of a forward to back up Lionel Messi, Luis Suarez and Antoine Griezmann. There is speculation about who the Blaugrana will be looking to spend the cash on next. The players they have most strongly been linked with are Lautaro Martinez, Neymar and Mathijs de Ligt. As enticing as these transfer are, they are big names and those do not often happen during the Winter transfer window. With a €10 bet available to bet on the next club signing the punter has some thinking to do…
Lautaro Martinez 9/2
Mikel Oyarzabal 10/1
Mathijs de Ligt 10/1
Andre Onana 12/1
Donny van de Beek 12/1
Despite most of the market being certain that Barcelona will re-sign Neymar due to their 2-year link to them and his uncertainty playing at PSG, this is not a realistic transfer. You should be considering Barcelona’s dire financial situation and PSG’s unwillingness to let the Brazilian go. The bettor places a €10 punt on Barcelona signing Mikel Oyarzabal from Real Sociedad. This transfer window is a more realistic option, cheaper and is within the same league. The bet is correct, with the odds earning the betting individual a €110 return, a €100 profit on his investment.
Conclusion: Player Transfer
This article discusses the Player Transfer Bet and how it can be used. As mentioned, this bet is very different to many of the bets we have already discussed. It’s one of the few which does not talk about the events of an upcoming match. This bet will see individuals wager on the probability of a certain player joining a club on transfer (not loan). The transfer market only occurs twice a year, and when it arrives it can be chaotic. This is why the football player transfer bets are so exciting
This bet relies on a lot of insider information, analysis and news reports. Understanding both player and club needs will make a big difference in this bet. Rather than relying on internet rumors and unreliable statements. This bet can be decided by factors such as player relationship with the coach/management, player performances, playing time and interested clubs. These are just some of many different examples. It is important to remember that research is an essential part when placing these bets. And you must always remember to be mentally in control and bet responsibly.